Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 6 Nov 2024

Zrinjski Mostar
1-1 HT 1-1
FK Sarajevo
📅06/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League – 2024/2025

Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+3.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zrinjski Mostar v FK Sarajevo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.55/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.09
+7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.7

Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-3 HT 3-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
18.12.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
16.09.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
26.02.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-2 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
04.09.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-1 HT 3-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
16.04.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN

Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 FK Sarajevo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
1-1
AWAY FK Sarajevo
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar and FK Sarajevo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zrinjski Mostar at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 54% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 46%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.83 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 55%, draw 21%, FK Sarajevo 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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