Zrinjski Mostar 4-3 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.23/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.80
+24% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
18.12.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
16.09.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
26.02.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-2 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
04.09.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-1 HT 3-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
16.04.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
23.10.2021 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
4-3
AWAY FK Sarajevo
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar squeezed past FK Sarajevo 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 51% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 49%, shots finished 6-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.33 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

Zrinjski Mostar 4-3 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 53%, draw 28%, FK Sarajevo 19%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
24 Apr 2024
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