Zvijezda 09 Brgule 3-2 Tuzla City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuzla City EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.49/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.26
+44% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tuzla City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Tuzla City Tuzla City 2-0 HT 1-0 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule BOSN
07.10.2023 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule 1-1 HT 0-0 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule
3-2
AWAY Tuzla City
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs Tuzla City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zvijezda 09 Brgule squeezed past Tuzla City 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Zvijezda 09 Brgule made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zvijezda 09 Brgule had 54% of the ball to Tuzla City's 46%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tuzla City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zvijezda 09 Brgule and 1.50 for Tuzla City.

What was the final score of Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs Tuzla City?

Zvijezda 09 Brgule 3-2 Tuzla City in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs Tuzla City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tuzla City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zvijezda 09 Brgule 35%, draw 25%, Tuzla City 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tuzla City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
24 Apr 2024
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