FC Goa 2-1 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.91
Over
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.41
2-3
40%
1.79
4-5
21%
3.47
6+
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+11.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.72/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.78
+12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
22.7 Crosses 12.8
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Punjab FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.84 xG 0.85
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
403 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 3-3 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
02.10.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 1-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
2-1
AWAY Punjab FC
0.88 xG 0.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
210 Passes 390
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa nicked a narrow win over Punjab FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; FC Goa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Goa had 38% of the ball to Punjab FC's 62%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.88 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Goa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Goa and 1.50 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Punjab FC?

FC Goa 2-1 Punjab FC in the India - Super League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 37%, draw 25%, Punjab FC 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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