Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
28.5
X/1
16%
3.05
X/2
5%
22.3
X/X
15%
6.12
2/1
11%
31.5
2/2
7%
21.45
2/X
6%
30.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-17.2pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.3pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.0pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.44/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/1.34
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / +53%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 0.84
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
550 Passes 248
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-5 HT 1-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
28.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
20.09.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-3 HT 2-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
25.07.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
05.11.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
06.08.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 66% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 34%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.17 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Cup on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 56%, draw 27%, FC Akhmat Grozny 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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