FC Akhmat Grozny 1-5 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 May 2024

FC Akhmat Grozny
1-5 HT 1-3
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.65
1/2
5%
23.15
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1
9%
11.9
X/2
22%
3.63
X/X
15%
5.59
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.9
2/X
8%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.6pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.8pp
48%
Away Win
61%
-13.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Akhmat Grozny v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 66%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
0.94/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.78
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
15.3 Crosses 20.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.76 xG 1.49
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
238 Passes 495
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
20.09.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-3 HT 2-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
25.07.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
05.11.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
06.08.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
09.04.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-5 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-5
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
302 Passes 568
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over FC Akhmat Grozny 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 37% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 63%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.67 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-5 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 23%, draw 29%, Zenit St. Petersburg 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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