Rio Ave U23 1-2 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.03/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.00
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Famalicao U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
21.08.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 4-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
1-2
AWAY Famalicao U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 squeezed past Rio Ave U23 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rio Ave U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 48% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 52%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Rio Ave U23 1-2 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 41%, draw 27%, Famalicao U23 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rio Ave U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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