Farense U23 2-2 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estrela U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
2-2
AWAY Estrela U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 and Estrela U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Estrela U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Farense U23 had 59% of the ball to Estrela U23's 41%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Farense U23 2-2 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 29%, draw 30%, Estrela U23 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estrela U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estrela U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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