UPDF vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UPDF v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
UPDF vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Mbarara City
UGA
UPDF 2-1 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
UPDF squeezed past Mbarara City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day UPDF made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, UPDF had 43% of the ball to Mbarara City's 57%, shots finished 12-6.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UPDF had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UPDF and 0.00 for Mbarara City.
What was the final score of UPDF vs Mbarara City?
UPDF 2-1 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UPDF vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a UPDF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UPDF 39%, draw 29%, Mbarara City 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UPDF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.