Mbarara City 0-0 UPDF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

Mbarara City
0-0 HT 0-0
UPDF
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

Mbarara City vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mbarara City v UPDF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY UPDF EU Bookmakers 20%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.89/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.66
+53% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Mbarara City vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mbarara City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UPDF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
06.11.2021 UPDF UPDF 1-0 HT 0-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
POST-MATCH Mbarara City vs UPDF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbarara City and UPDF played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mbarara City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Mbarara City vs UPDF?

Mbarara City 0-0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs UPDF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mbarara City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 50%, draw 30%, UPDF 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mbarara City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mbarara City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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