Busoga United 2-1 Wakiso Giants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busoga United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wakiso Giants EU Bookmakers 34%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.16/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.42
-87% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busoga United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wakiso Giants
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.10.2021 Wakiso Giants Wakiso Giants 1-0 HT 0-0 Busoga United Busoga United UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busoga United
2-1
AWAY Wakiso Giants
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Busoga United vs Wakiso Giants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busoga United squeezed past Wakiso Giants 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Busoga United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Busoga United had 48% of the ball to Wakiso Giants's 52%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Busoga United vs Wakiso Giants?

Busoga United 2-1 Wakiso Giants in the Uganda - Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busoga United vs Wakiso Giants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busoga United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Busoga United 41%, draw 24%, Wakiso Giants 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busoga United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busoga United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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