Hoffenheim (K) 2-1 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+2.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.1pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.17/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.34
+113% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +140% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
12.0 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.08 xG 1.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
348 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2025 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
16.09.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-3 HT 1-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
22.03.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-4 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
04.11.2023 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
2-1
AWAY Freiburg (K)
1.94 xG 2.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
310 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) squeezed past Freiburg (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hoffenheim (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 46% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.94 to 2.64 — on chances, Freiburg (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Hoffenheim (K) and 2.00 for Freiburg (K).

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 2-1 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 53%, draw 20%, Freiburg (K) 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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