Derby County U21 1-4 Brentford U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.68
Over 2.5
67%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.28
No
37%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+9.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-9.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
74%
-10.9pp
37%
BTTS No
26%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / -61%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
354 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Brentford U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
21.10.2024 Brentford U21 Brentford U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 İNPLK
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford U21 cruised past Derby County U21 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Brentford U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21?

Derby County U21 1-4 Brentford U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brentford U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 34%, draw 26%, Brentford U21 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brentford U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNPLK More England - Premier League Cup
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