Brentford U21 0-1 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
24%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.32
No
50%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
45%
+10.2pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
32%
-7.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
72%
-21.1pp
50%
BTTS No
28%
+21.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County U21 squeezed past Brentford U21 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Brentford U21 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?

Brentford U21 0-1 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Brentford U21 55%, draw 20%, Derby County U21 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brentford U21) ✗ Over 2.5
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