AFC Bournemouth U21 1-4 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.95
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
3.94
Over 2.5
75%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
9%
+7.2pp
16%
Draw
12%
+3.9pp
67%
Away Win
78%
-11.2pp
25%
Under 2.5
22%
+3.4pp
75%
Over 2.5
78%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
265 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 534 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
1-4
AWAY Chelsea U21
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
133 Passes 424
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Chelsea U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 ran out comfortable winners over AFC Bournemouth U21 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, AFC Bournemouth U21 had 36% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 64%, shots finished 10-21.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Chelsea U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 1-4 Chelsea U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 16%, draw 16%, Chelsea U21 67%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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