Real Sociedad II 2-0 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.14
6+ Goals
13%
20.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.14 — our 25% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Real Sociedad II win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.59
+25% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.61
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 204
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 0-1 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
15.01.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
23.04.2022 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-1 HT 2-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
24.10.2021 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS2
13.02.2021 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-1 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
14.11.2020 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
2-0
AWAY Amorebieta
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad II saw off Amorebieta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Sociedad II as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 54% of the ball to Amorebieta's 46%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.17 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Amorebieta?

Real Sociedad II 2-0 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 55%, draw 24%, Amorebieta 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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