Real Murcia 3-1 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.97
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.24/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.30
-17% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Real Madrid II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2024 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 5-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
12.11.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
07.06.2014 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
11.01.2014 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
05.05.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
30.11.2012 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
3-1
AWAY Real Madrid II
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia beat Real Madrid II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Murcia had 39% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 61%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Murcia and 1.50 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Real Madrid II?

Real Murcia 3-1 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 43%, draw 27%, Real Madrid II 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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