Stade Nyonnais 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.94
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
10%
6.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.94 — our 27% vs market 15.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
63%
-16.0pp
53%
BTTS No
37%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 52%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.32/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.80
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.4 Crosses 27.5
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.85 xG 2.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
17.05.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 1-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
16.02.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
20.10.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
28.07.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
2-1
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.13 xG 1.84
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
209 Passes 469
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Nyonnais edged past Neuchatel Xamax 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Neuchatel Xamax at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 35% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 65%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.13 to 1.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Neuchatel Xamax.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 2.20 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Stade Nyonnais 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 26%, draw 24%, Neuchatel Xamax 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✗ BTTS No
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