Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.51/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.28
-20% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.2 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.60 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
254 Passes 368
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.05.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 1-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
16.02.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
20.10.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
28.07.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
3-2
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.26 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
408 Passes 242
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax nicked a narrow win over Stade Nyonnais 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neuchatel Xamax as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 59% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 41%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 2.26 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Neuchatel Xamax's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 0.50 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais?

Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 50%, draw 28%, Stade Nyonnais 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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