Aarau 1-2 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 25% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.40
-16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
10.5 Crosses 12.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
377 Passes 220
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
08.03.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
27.10.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
25.08.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
19.05.2023 Aarau Aarau 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
17.02.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 1-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
1-2
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.32 xG 1.71
72% Ball Possession 28%
11 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
535 Passes 158
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen edged past Aarau 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Aarau had 72% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 28%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.32 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aarau and 1.33 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen?

Aarau 1-2 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aarau 42%, draw 25%, FC Schaffhausen 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
23 Sep 2024
20:30 Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais Analysis →
20:30 Wil 1900 vs Thun Analysis →