Aarau 1-2 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
8%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 30% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
0.83/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.91
-4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
11.0 Crosses 12.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
2W-4D-0L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.74 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
389 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
27.10.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
25.08.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
19.05.2023 Aarau Aarau 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
17.02.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 1-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
19.11.2022 Aarau Aarau 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
1-2
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.45 xG 1.43
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
341 Passes 216
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen edged past Aarau 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aarau had 58% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 42%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.45 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aarau and 1.00 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen?

Aarau 1-2 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aarau 42%, draw 26%, FC Schaffhausen 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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