Wil 1900 4-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.82
6+ Goals
12%
16.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +13%
0.92/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.35
-5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.0 Crosses 12.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.49 xG 0.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
259 Passes 332
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
10.11.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
23.07.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
12.05.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-2 HT 2-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
05.02.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 3-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
15.10.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 5-1 HT 4-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
4-1
AWAY Bellinzona
3.10 xG 0.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 263
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 swept aside Bellinzona 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wil 1900 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 52% of the ball to Bellinzona's 48%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 3.10 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wil 1900 and 1.33 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Bellinzona?

Wil 1900 4-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 44%, draw 30%, Bellinzona 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wil 1900), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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