Stuttgart vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stuttgart v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Stuttgart vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AFK
0-3
HT 0-1
Stuttgart
AL1
3-0
HT 0-0
Stuttgart
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
Stuttgart
AL1
Stuttgart 3-2 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Stuttgart nicked a narrow win over Union Berlin 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Stuttgart had 64% of the ball to Union Berlin's 36%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 2.10 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stuttgart and 0.83 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?
Stuttgart 3-2 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 42%, draw 29%, Union Berlin 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.