Verl 1-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Dec 2024

Verl
1-1 HT 1-1
Saarbrücken
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Verl vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.6
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.64
X/2
8%
5.79
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.73
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.60/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.31
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.2 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Verl vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.01.2024 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
23.08.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 4-3 HT 1-2 Verl Verl AL3
28.01.2023 Verl Verl 2-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
23.07.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
23.04.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
19.11.2021 Verl Verl 2-4 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3

Verl 1-1 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
1-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
435 Passes 168
79% Pass Accuracy 57%
23 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Verl vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl and Saarbrücken couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Verl had 65% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 35%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Verl and 1.67 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Verl vs Saarbrücken?

Verl 1-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Verl 39%, draw 26%, Saarbrücken 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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