Verl 0-0 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Jan 2024

Verl
0-0 HT 0-0
Saarbrücken
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Verl vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.44
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
10%
6.31
X/2
19%
4.88
X/X
12%
4.63
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.1
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.36/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.30
+6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Verl vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.08.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 4-3 HT 1-2 Verl Verl AL3
28.01.2023 Verl Verl 2-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
23.07.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
23.04.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
19.11.2021 Verl Verl 2-4 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
27.02.2021 Verl Verl 1-3 HT 0-2 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3

Verl 0-0 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
0-0
AWAY Saarbrücken
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Verl vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl and Saarbrücken fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Verl had 58% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 42%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Verl and 2.17 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Verl vs Saarbrücken?

Verl 0-0 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Verl 33%, draw 27%, Saarbrücken 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ BTTS Yes
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