MSV Duisburg 2-3 Hallescher FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.89
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
10%
4.91
X/2
10%
6.64
X/X
14%
5.22
2/1
8%
23.45
2/2
16%
4.41
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hallescher FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.84/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.22
-6% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.5 Crosses 25.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hallescher FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.08.2023 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-1 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
24.03.2023 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 2-2 HT 1-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
01.10.2022 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
09.04.2022 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
30.10.2021 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 2-1 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
16.03.2021 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-1 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
2-3
AWAY Hallescher FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Hallescher FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hallescher FC nicked a narrow win over MSV Duisburg 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Hallescher FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, MSV Duisburg had 42% of the ball to Hallescher FC's 58%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MSV Duisburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MSV Duisburg and 1.17 for Hallescher FC.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Hallescher FC?

MSV Duisburg 2-3 Hallescher FC in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Hallescher FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 38%, draw 29%, Hallescher FC 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MSV Duisburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
23 Jan 2024
21:00 Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln Analysis →
21:00 Verl vs Saarbrücken Analysis →
21:00 Lübeck vs 1860 München Analysis →
21:00 Waldhof Mannheim vs Dynamo Dresden Analysis →