Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Jan 2024

Rot-Weiss Essen
3-1 HT 0-0
Viktoria Köln
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
13%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.0
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
7%
4.96
X/2
15%
6.41
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1
10%
23.85
2/2
16%
4.29
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Viktoria Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.21/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.54
-24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
243 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
– Crosses 9.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
13.02.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
09.08.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-4 HT 0-2 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
02.10.2015 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln ALMBÖL
22.03.2015 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen ALMBÖL
25.01.2014 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-2 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen ALMBÖL

Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 Viktoria Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
3-1
AWAY Viktoria Köln
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen beat Viktoria Köln 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Rot-Weiss Essen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 59% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 41%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.33 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln?

Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 35%, draw 26%, Viktoria Köln 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Viktoria Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✓ Over 2.5
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