Lübeck 1-1 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Jan 2024

Lübeck
1-1 HT 0-0
1860 München
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Lübeck vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 29% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.42
1/2
5%
25.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
11%
6.39
X/2
20%
4.92
X/X
15%
4.74
2/1
11%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.06
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lübeck v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.39/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.68
-18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.0 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Lübeck vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
1W-1D-1L
AWAY 1860 München
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.08.2023 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 1-2 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
17.03.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 0-0 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
10.10.2020 1860 München 1860 München 4-1 HT 2-1 Lübeck Lübeck AL3

Lübeck 1-1 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübeck
1-1
AWAY 1860 München
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck and 1860 München couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lübeck had 54% of the ball to 1860 München's 46%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lübeck and 1.67 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs 1860 München?

Lübeck 1-1 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated an 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 33%, draw 27%, 1860 München 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (1860 München) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✓ BTTS Yes
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