Augsburg II 1-3 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Dec 2024

Augsburg II
1-3 HT 1-1
Bayern München II
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Augsburg II vs Bayern München II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.4pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Augsburg II v Bayern München II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
3.29/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.39
+32% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Augsburg II vs Bayern München II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.14 xG 1.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
356 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.03.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-0 HT 0-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
31.10.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 4-0 HT 3-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
05.04.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-2 HT 2-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 Augsburg II Augsburg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
29.10.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-2 HT 2-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
17.07.2021 Augsburg II Augsburg II 0-3 HT 0-3 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Augsburg II vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II beat Augsburg II 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bayern München II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Augsburg II and 1.50 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Augsburg II vs Bayern München II?

Augsburg II 1-3 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg II vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Augsburg II 33%, draw 27%, Bayern München II 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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