FSV Zwickau 4-3 Hertha Zehlendorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Zehlendorf EU Bookmakers 22%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.61/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/1.82
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
374 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hertha Zehlendorf
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Hertha Zehlendorf Hertha Zehlendorf 5-0 HT 3-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Hertha Zehlendorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau edged past Hertha Zehlendorf 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FSV Zwickau as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Hertha Zehlendorf?

FSV Zwickau 4-3 Hertha Zehlendorf in the Germany - Regional League on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Hertha Zehlendorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Zwickau win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 47%, draw 28%, Hertha Zehlendorf 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Zwickau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FSV Zwickau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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