Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.84/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.58
+74% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
23.5 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY RFC Liege
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.52 xG 2.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 252
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
12.11.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 2-4 HT 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2-1
AWAY RFC Liege
2.88 xG 1.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
378 Passes 194
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen edged past RFC Liege 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Lierse Kempenzonen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 62% of the ball to RFC Liege's 38%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.88 to 1.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lierse Kempenzonen's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 2.00 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Liege?

Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 40%, draw 26%, RFC Liege 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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