Auxerre 0-0 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Dec 2024

Auxerre
0-0 HT 0-0
PSG
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.37
2-3 Goals
34%
2.13
4-5 Goals
32%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
14.9
1/2
6%
23.4
1/X
9%
24.3
X/1
10%
21.6
X/2
26%
4.18
X/X
7%
10.1
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.63
2/X
5%
24.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.5pp
58%
Away Win
70%
-12.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 75%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
0.98/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.11
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -3%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 86%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
16.6 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PSG
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 2.07
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
372 Passes 638
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.05.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 1-2 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
13.11.2022 PSG PSG 5-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
30.05.2015 Auxerre Auxerre 0-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FRK
15.04.2012 Auxerre Auxerre 1-1 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
04.12.2011 PSG PSG 3-2 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
05.03.2011 Auxerre Auxerre 1-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
0-0
AWAY PSG
0.26 xG 2.51
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 15
167 Passes 602
67% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auxerre vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auxerre and PSG fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSG at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auxerre had 27% of the ball to PSG's 73%, shots finished 6-24, expected goals 0.26 to 2.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Auxerre and 2.00 for PSG.

What was the final score of Auxerre vs PSG?

Auxerre 0-0 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 21%, draw 21%, PSG 58%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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