Atletico CP 3-0 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.22/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.22
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
231 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
08.12.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
26.08.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
22.03.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR2
02.11.2014 Atletico CP Atletico CP 5-0 HT 3-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
3-0
AWAY Sporting CP II
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP cruised past Sporting CP II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Atletico CP found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 39% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 61%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Atletico CP and 1.20 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Sporting CP II?

Atletico CP 3-0 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 38%, draw 27%, Sporting CP II 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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