Sporting CP II 0-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.59/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.00
+32% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
26.08.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
22.03.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR2
02.11.2014 Atletico CP Atletico CP 5-0 HT 3-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
0-1
AWAY Atletico CP
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 61% of the ball to Atletico CP's 39%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting CP II and 1.50 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Atletico CP?

Sporting CP II 0-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 47%, draw 23%, Atletico CP 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting CP II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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