Sanjoanense 0-2 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
47%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
25%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
47%
Away Win
40%
+7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.14/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.47
-11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Trofense
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
17.02.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-3 HT 0-2 Trofense Trofense POR3
05.11.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 3-2 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
08.08.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
0-2
AWAY Trofense
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense beat Sanjoanense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 54% of the ball to Trofense's 46%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.75 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Trofense?

Sanjoanense 0-2 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 28%, draw 25%, Trofense 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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