Amarante 0-1 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
0-1
AWAY Anadia
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia edged past Amarante 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Amarante at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Amarante had 54% of the ball to Anadia's 46%, shots finished 14-3.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Anadia?

Amarante 0-1 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Amarante 45%, draw 32%, Anadia 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amarante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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