Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Fafe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Fafe — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Fafe Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-1
Fafe
POR3
0-3
HT 0-1
Lusitania FC Lourosa
POR3
Lusitania FC Lourosa 4-0 Fafe — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa cruised past Fafe 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 65% of the ball to Fafe's 35%, shots finished 17-12.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 1.50 for Fafe.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Fafe?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 4-0 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Fafe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 46%, draw 23%, Fafe 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.