Vilaverdense 2-2 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2023 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
04.11.2022 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
2-2
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilaverdense and Sao Joao Ver shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 55% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 45%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vilaverdense and 0.50 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Vilaverdense 2-2 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 35%, draw 28%, Sao Joao Ver 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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