Sanjoanense 0-3 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+9% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -61%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Trofense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 3-2 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
08.08.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
0-3
AWAY Trofense
38% Ball Possession 62%
1 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense cruised past Sanjoanense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 38% of the ball to Trofense's 62%, shots finished 1-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.50 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Trofense?

Sanjoanense 0-3 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 30%, draw 28%, Trofense 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ BTTS Yes
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