Fafe 2-1 Canelas 2010 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Canelas 2010 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.16/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.73
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +78%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Canelas 2010
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
29.10.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 3-1 HT 2-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
21.01.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-2 HT 0-0 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
2-1
AWAY Canelas 2010
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Canelas 2010
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe squeezed past Canelas 2010 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fafe had 46% of the ball to Canelas 2010's 54%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Canelas 2010 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fafe and 1.67 for Canelas 2010.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Canelas 2010?

Fafe 2-1 Canelas 2010 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Canelas 2010?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fafe 44%, draw 26%, Canelas 2010 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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