Fafe 0-0 Canelas 2010 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Canelas 2010 EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.31/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.85
-1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Canelas 2010
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 3-1 HT 2-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
21.01.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-2 HT 0-0 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
0-0
AWAY Canelas 2010
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Canelas 2010
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe and Canelas 2010 played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fafe had 59% of the ball to Canelas 2010's 41%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Canelas 2010 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fafe and 2.50 for Canelas 2010.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Canelas 2010?

Fafe 0-0 Canelas 2010 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Canelas 2010?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fafe 38%, draw 28%, Canelas 2010 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5
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