Trofense 1-0 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 30%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.82
-100% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Anadia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
29.10.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-3 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-0
AWAY Anadia
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense edged past Anadia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Trofense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Trofense had 52% of the ball to Anadia's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Anadia?

Trofense 1-0 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Trofense 39%, draw 26%, Anadia 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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