Varzim 2-0 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.97/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.70
-27% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 2-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
07.08.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
17.12.2022 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
04.11.2015 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-0
AWAY Sporting Braga II
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim beat Sporting Braga II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Varzim had 52% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 48%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Varzim and 1.00 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Sporting Braga II?

Varzim 2-0 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Varzim 41%, draw 25%, Sporting Braga II 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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