Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.50/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.23
-4% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 83%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
18.1 Crosses 20.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.57
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
317 Passes 411
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-2 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
26.12.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-5 HT 1-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.03.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
26.01.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUSK
02.10.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
11.02.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-1
AWAY Al Nassr
0.85 xG 1.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
268 Passes 468
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Nassr 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Ittihad-Jeddah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 38% of the ball to Al Nassr's 62%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.85 to 1.39 — on chances, Al Nassr could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.67 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Nassr?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 33%, draw 29%, Al Nassr 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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