Trabzonspor 2-2 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Dec 2024

Trabzonspor
2-2 HT 0-1
Kasımpaşa
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
18%
5.08
X/2
7%
9.2
X/X
9%
5.85
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
6.32
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trabzonspor v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.64/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.60
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.0 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
397 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.01.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
01.09.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-5 HT 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.04.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
10.12.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa HAZ
10.10.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
05.02.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Trabzonspor 2-2 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
2-2
AWAY Kasımpaşa
3.57 xG 2.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
432 Passes 209
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor and Kasımpaşa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 64% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 36%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.57 to 2.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.17 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Trabzonspor 2-2 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 47%, draw 25%, Kasımpaşa 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✗ BTTS No
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