Trabzonspor 2-3 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
14%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.23
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.19
X/2
11%
8.74
X/X
9%
5.92
2/1
6%
20.6
2/2
10%
6.05
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.64/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.66
+17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.6 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.99 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
405 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-5 HT 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.04.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
10.12.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa HAZ
10.10.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
05.02.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
18.09.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
2-3
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.86 xG 2.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
370 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa edged past Trabzonspor 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 57% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 43%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.86 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trabzonspor and 0.67 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Trabzonspor 2-3 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 46%, draw 23%, Kasımpaşa 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trabzonspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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