İstanbulspor 1-1 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.61
6+ Goals
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.0
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
14%
6.3
X/2
14%
4.51
X/X
15%
4.01
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
22%
3.14
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.34/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.93
-11% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
16.1 Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.00 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
435 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
20.12.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
20.02.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
17.10.2020 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-3 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
08.04.2018 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
25.11.2017 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-1
AWAY Samsunspor
0.87 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 228
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor and Samsunspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Samsunspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 54% of the ball to Samsunspor's 46%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.87 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 0.50 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Samsunspor?

İstanbulspor 1-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 29%, draw 26%, Samsunspor 45%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✗ BTTS No
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