Kayserispor 1-1 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Jan 2024

Kayserispor
1-1 HT 0-1
Antalyaspor
📅29/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 33% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.19
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
12%
6.0
X/2
12%
5.11
X/X
18%
4.47
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
23%
3.33
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.4pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kayserispor v Antalyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.51/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.19
-7% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.8 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.64
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
303 Passes 412
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
11.03.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
17.01.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
11.09.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
24.04.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
05.12.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-0 HT 2-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL

Kayserispor 1-1 Antalyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
1-1
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.48 xG 1.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
286 Passes 293
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor and Antalyaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Antalyaspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Kayserispor had 49% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 51%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.48 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kayserispor and 1.00 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor?

Kayserispor 1-1 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 30%, draw 29%, Antalyaspor 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Antalyaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
29 Jan 2024
17:00 İstanbulspor vs Samsunspor Analysis →
20:00 Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa Analysis →
20:00 Galatasaray vs Gaziantep FK Analysis →