Edinburgh City 4-3 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
40%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
17%
8.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-12.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
25%
+15.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.37/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.07
-15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
30.08.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 0-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
07.05.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
03.05.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 4-1 HT 2-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
20.05.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
17.05.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-3 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
04.07.2015 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton HAZ
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City squeezed past Dumbarton 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Edinburgh City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Edinburgh City and 1.17 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?

Edinburgh City 4-3 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 39%, draw 21%, Dumbarton 40%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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