Dumbarton 1-2 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.68
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.29/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.98
-8% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
243 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Edinburgh City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
07.05.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
03.05.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 4-1 HT 2-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
20.05.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
17.05.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-3 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
04.07.2015 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton HAZ
05.07.2014 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-2 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton HAZ
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City squeezed past Dumbarton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Edinburgh City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dumbarton and 1.17 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?

Dumbarton 1-2 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 40%, draw 24%, Edinburgh City 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ BTTS Yes
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